Considering Goku's display of UI against Kefla was enough to give Toppo a solid estimation on the "depths of his power", it's safe to say his 3rd usage and Jiren's power against it weren't that much higher, despite the latter calling Toppo pathetic. I'd say he gets up to Round 4 and gives Jiren mid-diff at best and even assuming he were to win, there's no way he's taking Round 5.